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Tuesday, April 18, 2023

The Turbulent Truth: Climate Change and Airborne Chaos


Climate change may be bad, but don't blame it for your bumpy flights just yet.

Greg's Words

"Climate Change" is a crock. It always has been; different names, same narrative.  

It started with the best intentions - stop littering, "Give a Hoot.  Don't Pollute", 1970.  But as the world moved away from the Evil Empire, AKA The Communist Threat of the USSR, the search for the next 'great threat' went into full gear.  

The Ice Age of the 70s, Acid Rain in 1980, Hole in the Ozone in 1987, "The Oceans will be dead in 10yrs", 1988, The Oceans will rise and flood New York City, 1988, the arctic will be ice-free by 2015, on and on.

Don't get me wrong, mankind impacts the environment yet just like the death of Lake Erie in the 1960s, the death of mankind has (always) been exaggerated.

A few weeks back, climate experts were pitching the notion that climate was responsible for the increase in the number of home runs in the MLB.  So it was with piqued interest I engaged with the WSJ article, "Heavy Turbulence on Flights Is Likely to Get Worse" (PW).  Two articles in as many weeks connecting dots with climate change - I detect a whiteboard adorned with a narrative timeline.

Recently, climate experts posited that climate change played a role in the surge of home runs in MLB games. Intrigued by this claim, I delved into the WSJ article, "Heavy Turbulence on Flights Is Likely to Get Worse" (PW). Encountering two articles in quick succession linking seemingly unrelated phenomena to climate change - I sensed a whiteboard adorned with a narrative timeline.

I know, I know, Climate Change is real.  And UFOs are fake.  It's hard to deny. But these reach-around articles, from the Wall Street Journal no less, are getting hard to ignore.

So we threw four articles at the AI in the Sky, custom-built a prompt, and let it go.

Enjoy.

Executive Summary:
  • Media sources commonly attribute increased turbulence to climate change.
  • Scientific data and research reveal a more complex relationship.
  • Other factors, such as jet streams and natural weather variations, contribute significantly to turbulence.
  • Misleading conclusions may detract from focusing on the real issues at hand.
 ________

If there's one thing that unites air travelers, it's the mutual dread of turbulence. As climate change becomes an increasingly important issue, media outlets are quick to attribute bumpy flights to our warming planet. But is there solid scientific ground to stand on?

Take, for example, the recent NPR article stating, "As the climate warms, the jet streams are becoming more unstable, which in turn is causing more turbulence." However, it's crucial to note that jet streams, those high-altitude air currents, have been causing turbulence since long before climate change became a concern. The complexity of these jet streams and their inherent instability make it difficult to pin the blame solely on climate change.

CNN's coverage also implies a connection, claiming that "climate change is making clear-air turbulence more frequent and severe." While there is merit to the argument that climate change affects weather patterns, it's not the sole cause of turbulence. Natural weather variations, such as storms and temperature fluctuations, have always played a significant role in causing turbulent flights.

Business Insider adds to the debate by highlighting a study suggesting that "climate change could be responsible for a 59% increase in severe turbulence by the end of the century." However, it's essential to recognize that turbulence is influenced by numerous factors, and such predictions may not account for the full picture. As the WSJ article reminds us, "turbulence can result from many different conditions, including changes in wind speed or direction, temperature changes, and even the shape of the aircraft."

By oversimplifying the issue, we risk overlooking other critical factors and detracting from the need to focus on the root causes of both turbulence and climate change.
The general public is bombarded with headlines blaming climate change for bumpy flights, digging deeper into the science behind turbulence, is revealing. Research indicates that turbulence is affected by a multitude of factors, many of which are unrelated to climate change. For example, mountains can disrupt airflow, leading to turbulence, while differences in air pressure can cause sudden gusts. Additionally, the shape and design of an aircraft can play a role in the turbulence experienced by passengers.

Although it's easy to lay the blame on climate change, doing so oversimplifies the issue and risks overlooking other contributing factors. Furthermore, such claims may distract from addressing the root causes of both turbulence and climate change. A more nuanced approach is necessary to understand the complexities of the relationship between air travel and our changing climate.

One such approach could involve examining the role of the aviation industry itself in contributing to climate change. Aircraft emit greenhouse gases, which have been linked to global warming.

Additionally, contrails – the white trails left behind by planes – can contribute to climate change by trapping heat in the atmosphere. Addressing these issues may not only mitigate climate change but also help reduce turbulence by altering weather patterns.
"They (contrails) trap and absorb outgoing heat which otherwise escapes into space. This worsens at night when it is colder and the contrail has a longer lifetime. They can also have a less significant cooling effect, blocking incoming sunlight - but only during daytime."(Opposed to blocking incoming sunlight at night time.  Yes, somebody actually wrote this.)
"Airlines are investing in technology to help pilots avoid turbulence and warn passengers when it's coming." By developing and implementing innovative solutions, we can minimize the impact of turbulence on air travelers, regardless of its root cause. These advances could include more accurate weather forecasting, better flight planning, and improved aircraft designs that are less susceptible to turbulence.

The connection between climate change and turbulence is not as clear-cut as media headlines suggest, the debate is far from settled. More research is needed to determine the precise relationship between these two phenomena, if any,  and identify the most effective strategies for mitigating their impacts - again, if any.

Attribute increased turbulence to climate change does fit the narrative, but the truth is far more complex. A multitude of factors contributes to turbulence, many of which are unrelated to our warming planet. By oversimplifying the issue, we overlook other critical factors and detract from the root causes of turbulence.


SourceQuoteURL
NPR Article"As the climate warms, the jet streams are becoming more unstable, which in turn is causing more turbulence."https://www.npr.org/2023/04/06/1166993992/turbulence-climate-change
CNN Article"Climate change is making clear-air turbulence more frequent and severe."https://www.cnn.com/travel/article/clear-air-turbulence-climate-change/index.html
Business Insider"Climate change could be responsible for a 59% increase in severe turbulence by the end of the century."https://www.businessinsider.com/how-climate-change-is-making-plane-turbulence-worse-2023-3?op=1
WSJ Article"Turbulence can result from many different conditions, including changes in wind speed or direction, temperature changes, and even the shape of the aircraft."https://www.wsj.com/articles/turbulence-flights-injuries-safety-796cbe1?mod=hp_lead_pos11


 
 
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 ________

Executive Summary:
  • Media sources commonly attribute increased turbulence to climate change.
  • Scientific data and research reveal a more complex relationship.
  • Other factors, such as jet streams and natural weather variations, contribute significantly to turbulence.
  • Misleading conclusions may detract from focusing on the real issues at hand.

Tweet: Think turbulence is getting worse because of climate change? Our award-winning journalist uncovers the #TurbulentTruth. Buckle up and dive into the scientific debate! #ClimateChange #AirTravel

LinkedIn Post Introduction: Bumpy flights have become a hot topic, with climate change often taking the blame. But is the connection between the two as strong as it seems? Join me as I examine the facts and reveal the #TurbulentTruth behind this controversial issue.

Keywords: turbulence, climate change, air travel, jet streams, weather variations

Search Question: Does climate change cause more airline turbulence?

Image Prompt: A plane flying through a stormy sky with a question mark overlay.

Songs Reflecting the Theme:

"Turbulence" by Steve Aoki & Laidback Luke ft. Lil Jon
"Riders on the Storm" by The Doors
"Stormy Weather" by Etta James
"Smooth Air" by CFCF
"Climate Change" by Pitbull

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